Ranking Signals of the Future A look at what inputs search engines may adopt in the future and how it impacts the marketing we do today. презентация

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Find These Slides Online at: bit.ly/futuresignals

Слайд 1Rand Fishkin, Wizard of Moz | @randfish | rand@moz.com
Ranking Signals

of the Future
A look at what inputs search engines may adopt in the future
and how it impacts the marketing we do today.

Слайд 2Find These Slides Online at:
bit.ly/futuresignals


Слайд 3#1
Usage Data of Pages and Sites


Слайд 410,000 visits/day
+50% growth last 6 months
3.7 pages/session
3 visits/unique user/month
6,000 visits/day
-10% growth

last 6 months
1.2 pages/session
1.4 visits/unique user/month

Слайд 5Maybe I should send searchers to the page w/ the greater

visitor loyalty & engagement.

Слайд 6Patent, Analysis on SEO by the Sea


Слайд 8This type of ranking input could be behind the strong performance

of popular brand sites on queries where classic SEO elements are lacking

Poor keyword targeting, crap relevance, few links, but the sites probably have stronger traffic/engagement than the competition.


Слайд 9

Via Searchmetrics’ Ranking Factors
Click-Through-Rate showed a 0.67 correlation
This May Explain

the High Correlation of CTR w/ Rankings

Слайд 10#2
Accuracy vs. Popularity of Information


Слайд 12Nailed It! Rank ‘em high, boys.


Слайд 13As Google’s research showed, PageRank and accuracy of information have a

poor correlation on the web.

Слайд 14By looking at multiple sets of data across sites & pages,

an algorithm could determine the consistency of accuracy shown by a site.

Слайд 15Paper from Google Researchers, Analysis by NPR


Слайд 16Consistently accurate facts could raise a site’s rankings, especially in areas

(like health) where Google weights accuracy more heavily.

Less likely to rank.

More likely to rank.


Слайд 17#3
Query Structure as an Anchor-Text-Like Signal


Слайд 18Many searchers using query structures in a particular fashion could connect

brands and modifiers to keywords

Слайд 19Looks familiar


Слайд 20Popular searches around a brand could indicate associations that manifest in

ranking inputs.

Слайд 21That ranking might be at partially, causal, rather than mere coincidence.


Слайд 22#4
Brands as Entities, Entities as Answers


Слайд 23More and more brands are becoming entries in Google’s Knowledge Graph



Слайд 24
IMO, these brand dropdowns suggest an implicit bias toward accumulating brand

associations and showing them off to searchers

Слайд 25In many competitive SERPs, there seems to be a correlation between

brand dropdowns and ranking higher.

Слайд 26
Some brands get so tightly connected to keywords, they become nearly

analogous with the query

Слайд 27
Suggest also shows us brand queries that earn strong connections to

URLs

Слайд 28
Even some generic queries bring back branded domain suggestions


Слайд 29
an experiment!
Let’s try


Слайд 30
Call Out Your Answer:
What site would you expect to see when

you searched for this?

Слайд 31
Yup.
Yup.
Yup.
Yup.
Weird.


Слайд 32
Call Out Your Answer:
What site would you expect to see when

you searched for this?

Слайд 33
Yup.
Yup.
Yup.
Yup.
Yup.
Yup.
Yup.


Слайд 34
Call Out Your Answer:
What site would you expect to see when

you searched for this?

Слайд 35
Maybe?
Yup.
Yup.
Yup.
Maybe?


Слайд 36
Call Out Your Answer:
What site would you expect to see when

you searched for this?

Слайд 37
Maybe?
Yup.
Yup.
Yup.
Yup.


Слайд 38Best Way to Rank in 2018?
“Yup.”
Find a way to be the

first

on everyone’s mind.


Слайд 39#5
Tracing the Visit Path to an Answer


Слайд 40Problem-solving on the web often looks something like this:
Broad search
Narrower search
Even

narrower search

Website visit

Website visit

Brand search

Social validation

Highly-specific search

Type-in/direct visit

Completion of Task


Слайд 41Google wants to do this:
Broad search
All the sites (or answers) you

probably would have visited/sought along that path

Completion of Task


Слайд 42If Google sees that many people who perform these types of

queries:

Слайд 43Eventually end their queries on the topic after visiting:
The Ramen Rater


Слайд 44They might use the clickstream data to help rank that site

higher, even if it doesn’t have traditional ranking signals

Слайд 45They’re definitely getting and storing it.


Слайд 46Google was just granted an interesting patent that suggested a similar

process

Patent Application from Google, Analysis by Bill Slawski


Слайд 47#6
Weighting Elements of User Experience


Слайд 51Patent Application from Google, Analysis on SEOByTheSea
Ever since Panda, Google’s been

trying to surface not just quality content, but “high quality websites.”

Слайд 52
If they aren’t already doing it, Google’s at least thinking about

how to measure UX and rank sites that do it better, higher.

Слайд 53#7
Replacing Flawed Humans w/ Deep Learning Machines


Слайд 54Jeff Dean’s Slides on Deep Learning
Are a Must Read for SEOs



Слайд 55

Google’s Deep Learning system studied YouTube clips and eventually invented its

own classification/concept of “cats”

Слайд 56

Replace YouTube with the Web and cats with any given search

query, and it’s not hard to imagine Google creating a deep learning ranking algorithm

Слайд 57Google knows there’s two, but based on my footprint, it biases

to the one matching my behavior, past queries, geography, etc.

Слайд 58In the future, even Google’s search quality engineers may have no

idea why something ranks or whether they’re using a particular factor in the ranking algorithm.

The machine will simply ask “what algorithm produces results that searchers engage with best?” then make it.


Слайд 59
strange path…
Google seems to be going down a


Слайд 60Total searchers, number of searchers, & searches per searcher are all

going up

Via RKG’s Quarterly Digital Marketing Report


Слайд 61Is Google sacrificing ad impressions to make searchers happier?


Слайд 62Are they willing to take away queries that provide revenue?
These searches

could have created revenue, but Google’s pre-empting w/ direct navigation to URLs

Слайд 63
I am too.
Skeptical?


Слайд 64IMO, Google’s thinking long term. They want addicted searchers providing data

about themselves so they can charge more per ad unit.

Via Search Engine Land


Слайд 65Via RKG Report
Facebook has shown Google that more data about users

yields more dollars per impression and click.

Слайд 66I think Google will chase better UX to almost any extent

in order to keep searchers & get data, even at the cost of their existing model.

Almost unreal that Google does this w/o AirBnB paying for an ad.

Via Tom Anthony’s Post


Слайд 67
Google will chase better UX to almost any extent in order

to keep searchers & get data, even at the cost of their existing model

My Guess:


Слайд 68Rand Fishkin, Wizard of Moz | @randfish | rand@moz.com
bit.ly/futuresignals


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