Technology and the Future of Work Tim O’Reilly O’Reilly Media @timoreilly Closing the Gap December 8, 2015#CTG15PB презентация

AI, Robots, and Technological Unemployment?

Слайд 1Technology and the Future of Work


Tim O’Reilly
O’Reilly Media
@timoreilly

Closing the Gap
December 8,

2015 #CTG15PB

Слайд 2



Слайд 4AI, Robots, and Technological Unemployment?


Слайд 5
“The future is here. It’s just not evenly
distributed yet.”




William Gibson


Слайд 6The On-Demand Economy
Networks >


Слайд 9Networks and the Nature of the Firm
“The existence of high transaction

costs outside firms led to the emergence of the firm as we know it, and management as we know it….The reverse side of Coase’s argument is as important: If the (transaction) costs of exchanging value in the society at large go down drastically as is happening today, the form and logic of economic and organizational entities necessarily need to change! The core firm should now be small and agile, with a large network.

The mainstream firm, as we have known it, becomes the more expensive alternative. This is something that Ronald Coase did not see coming. Accordingly, a very different kind of management is needed when coordination can be performed without intermediaries with the help of new technologies. Apps can do now what managers used to do. [Bolding mine]

Today, we stand on the threshold of an economy where the familiar economic entities are becoming increasingly irrelevant. The Internet, and new Internet-based firms, rather than the traditional organizations, are becoming the most efficient means to create and exchange value.”

Слайд 10“Peer Production” and The On-Demand Economy


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Workers in all industries are increasingly managed by algorithms. The question

is what kind of algorithm we want to be ruled by.

Слайд 13Practical Labor Implications
“Dependent contractor” status
End of full time/part time distinction
Pro-rated

portable benefits
Open scheduling standards
Minimum wage standards

Слайд 14
@timoreilly



“Uber is a $3.5 billion lesson in building for

how the world *should* work instead of optimizing for how the world *does* work” - Aaron Levie of Box.net

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@timoreilly
Rethinking Workflow and User Experience



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@timoreilly




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@timoreilly




Слайд 18
@timoreilly




Слайд 19Augmented Worker?


Слайд 21


“The great question of the 21st century is going to be

‘Whose black box do you trust?’”

John Mattison,
Chief Medical Information Officer,
Kaiser Permanente

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@timoreilly



“God did not make being an auto
worker a good

job.”


David Rolf, SEIU


Слайд 26
“My grandfather
wouldn’t recognize
what I do as work”
Hal Varian,
Google Chief

Economist

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@timoreilly


Work, not Jobs
#CASBSSUMMIT


Слайд 29
Some of the grand challenges we face

Rebuilding the infrastructure by which

we deliver water, power, and goods.
Dealing with the “demographic inversion” — the lengthening lifespans of the old and the smaller number of young workers to pay into the social systems that support them.
Income inequality. “The people will rise up before the robots do.”
Climate change.
Displaced people. How could we use technology to create the infrastructure for whole new cities, factories, and farms, where they could be settlers, not refugees?

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Text
@timoreilly


“Technology is the solution to
human problems. We won’t
run out of work till we run
out of problems.”

Nick Hanauer


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