Larry Williams in Moscow. Secrets of тrading in Russia презентация

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©2015 LnL Publishing. All rights reserved. Here’s Where I Live

Слайд 1Larry Williams in Moscow


Слайд 2©2015 LnL Publishing. All rights reserved.
Here’s Where I Live


Слайд 3©2015 LnL Publishing. All rights reserved.
Here’s Where I Live


Слайд 4THE GOOD NEWS

MOST ANYONE CAN LEARN TO TRADE

SUCCESSFULLY!!

Слайд 5©2015 LnL Publishing. All rights reserved.
53 Years of Trading

The fact

I have made millions, my students have made millions only tells us my approach works and has for a long, long time. We are not one hit wonders!

Слайд 6Just last week…

2015-11-13 19:18:00.522 GMT By Lu Wang (Bloomberg) –



Larry Williams, a trader whose market-timing tool ranks best among almost two dozen strategies in 2015, said U.S. stocks will resume their advance in coming weeks, lifting the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index above its May record by year-end

Слайд 7Fridays Headline

U.S. Stocks have
Best Week of 2015

as Interest Concerns Fade

Слайд 8CURRENT 52 WINING TRADES


Слайд 9HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS


MY TRADING SUCCESS HAS COME
FROM ONE OF

TWO APPROACHES



Слайд 10HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS


SHORT TERM TRADING WITH LOTS
OF TRADES IN

MOST ACTIVE MARKETS; GOLD, BONDS, E MINI

Patterns, Momentum, Influences

Слайд 11HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS


2) Longer term “Fundamentally Set Up” trades.

Specific set up markets

Smart Money, Accumulation, Fade Public


Слайд 12FIDELITY STUDY

1) The shorter you hold a stock, the more likely

you are to lose money
2) Accounts that had done the best were the accounts of people who forgot they had an account at Fidelity

Слайд 13HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS
EXPONENTAIL WEALTH
COMES

FROM

BEING A GOOD TO DECENT TRADER
USING AGGRESSIVE MONEY MANAGEMENT

Слайд 14SIN STOCKS


Слайд 15VALUE TRUMPS GROWTH


Слайд 16HOW I HAVE MADE MILLIONS

MONEY MANAGEMENT IS THE KEY TO
THE KINGDOM

OF WEALTH

BUT IS ALSO OPENS THE
DOOR TO DISASTER

Слайд 17$1,250 profits from 2002-2015


Слайд 181.6 Million With Money Management


Слайд 19Secrets of Trading in Russia
Russian Stocks are

predictable
Cycles
Seasonals
Mutual Fund influences.
Professional Accumulation

Слайд 20MAJOR 80 WEEK CYCLE


Слайд 21SEASONAL PATTERN


Слайд 222016 SEASONAL projection RTSI


Слайд 23VALUATION MODEL


Слайд 24Secrets of Trading in Russia

World wide stocks rally at the end

of

The month and Russia is no exception

Слайд 25Secrets of Trading in Russia

RULE

Buy on the opening of the

2nd to last day of the month, hold for 2 days and exit

60% winners

Слайд 26Secrets of Trading in Russia


Слайд 27Secrets of Trading in Russia

QUESTIONS TO ASK

ARE SOME MONTHS
BETTER THAN OTHERS?

DOES TREND MATTER?

Слайд 28Secrets of Trading in Russia


Слайд 29Secrets of Trading in Russia

BYPASS
MAY JULY AUGUST
FOCUS ON
JANUARY

MARCH JUNE
NOVEMBER DECEMBER

Слайд 30Secrets of Trading in Russia

Monday has not been

a great day
For this strategy

Helps if trend is up; close > close
40 days ago

Слайд 31Secrets of Trading in Russia


Слайд 32Secrets of Trading in Russia

THAT IS MY OOPS! PATTERN

IF OPEN IS < PRIOR LOW
BUY WHEN COMES BACK TO
PRIOR LOW

Слайд 33Secrets of Trading in Russia


Слайд 34Secrets of Trading in Russia


Слайд 35EXAMPLES


Слайд 36EXAMPLES


Слайд 37OOPS! IN RUBLE


Слайд 39Secrets of Trading in Russia


RUSSIANS LIKE TO FOLLOW STRENGTH
WHEN TUESDAY HAS

BEEN STRONG

Слайд 40Secrets of Trading in Russia


Слайд 41Secrets of Trading in Russia


WHAT IS THE BEST DAY TO

BUY ??
WHAT IS THE BEST DAY TO SELL??

Слайд 42Secrets of Trading in Russia

BEST BUY DAY IS

WEDNESDAY

Слайд 43Wednesday Buys


Слайд 44Secrets of Trading in Russia


BEST SELL DAY

TUESDAY


Слайд 45 FAKEOUT PATTERN


KEY REVERSALS
ARE NOT
REAL REVERSALS


Слайд 46FAKEOUT PATTERN


Слайд 47FAKEOUT PATTERN


Слайд 48FAKEOUT PATTERN


Слайд 49FAKEOUT SELL RUBLE


Слайд 50FAKEOUT PATTERN


Слайд 51FAKEOUT PATTERN


Слайд 52FAKEOUT PATTERN
FAKEOUT RUBLE


Слайд 53More Examples


Слайд 54E MINI SIGNALS


Слайд 554 TYPES OF DAYS

ONLY 4 TYPES OF DAYS
1. UP RANGE
2. DOWN

RANGE
3. OUTSIDE RANGE
4. INSIDE RANGE

Слайд 564 TYPES OF DAYS


Слайд 57OUTSIDE DAYS


Слайд 58INSIDE DAYS


Слайд 598 TYPES OF DAYS

ONLY 4 TYPES OF DAYS—8 PATTERNS

1 UP

RANGE +/- DAY
2 DOWN RANGE +/-DAY
3 OUTSIDE RANGE +/- DAY
4 INSIDE RANGE +/- DAY

Слайд 60KEY REVERSAL THEN INSIDE


Слайд 61KEY REVERSAL THEN INSIDE


Слайд 62KEY REVERSAL THEN INSIDE


Слайд 63Money Management Math

% Accuracy #’s etc of
your system DO NOT

MATTER
MUCH AT ALL!!

RALPH VINCE A MUST READ

Слайд 64Money Management Curve


Слайд 65Martingale

DOUBLE UP AFTER EVERY
LOSSS OR SOME VERSION

OF THAT STRATEGY

Слайд 66DIFFERENT FORMULA

KELLY RATIO
OPTIMAL F
RYAN JONES
LATANTE
WILLIAMS % RISK


Слайд 67Money Management Math

YOU MUST INCREASE BET SIZE

AS PROFITS INCREASE

YOU MUST DECREASE BET SIZE AS
AS PROFITS DECREASE

Слайд 68Money Management Math

YOU MUST COMMIT A FIXED %
OF ACCOUNT

SO RISK

IS EQUALL
ON EACH TRADE/WAGER

Слайд 69Just Like Trading



Слайд 70Money Management Math

IT ONLY TAKES ONE LOSING TRADE
TO WIPE OUT

A TRADER…ONLY ONE

That’s Like Russian Roulette

Слайд 71Money Management Math

THE MORE YOU RISK
THE MORE YOU

CAN GAIN

AND THE MORE YOU RISK
THE MORE YOU CAN LOSE
IS THE PROBLEM

Слайд 72Money Management Math

ONE TRADE, ONE BULLET KILLS YOU
I HAVE

SEEN THE MARKETS DESTROY MANY PEOPLE

MUST ALWAYS BE DILLIGENT

Слайд 73Money Management Math

IF YOU BET BIG
YOU WILL

LOSE BIG

Слайд 74Money Management Math





IF YOU BET

SMALL
YOU CAN ONLY
LOSE SMALL

Слайд 75Money Management Math

PROFITS ARE A FUNCTION OF TREND

NO TREND NO PROFITS

Слайд 76Money Management Math


TREND IS A FUNCTION OF TIME

THE MORE TIME
THE BIGGER THE TREND

Слайд 77Money Management Math

THE ONLY WAY DAYTRADERS

CAN WIN BIG IS TO BET BIG
AS THEY CANNOT CATCH
LARGE TREND MOVES
---NO TIME---

Слайд 78Money Management Math

TO WIN BIG
BET SMALL
AND CATCH LARGE

MOVES

Слайд 79Money Management Math
IT’S ALWAYS
50/50
all that matters is my next

trade


Слайд 80CONSECUTIVE LOSSES MATTER!!
Risk Factor Per Trade
10%
5%
4%
3%
2%
Equity Decline 4 Losers
34%
19%
15%
11.5%
8.0%


Слайд 81HOW I DO IT


2% RISK ON EACH TRADE


Слайд 82HOW I DO IT

HOW FAR AWAY IS STOP?
$1,000
2) WHAT IS 2%

OF MY ACCOUNT?
2% OF 100,000 = $2,000
1000/2000 = 2 UNITS
IF STOP WAS $100/$2000= 20 UNITS


Слайд 83Money Management
It’s all about you… E=mc2


Слайд 84ERASE THE FEAR

"If you command a lot of cash

you can be wrong and still not have to worry."

Irving Kahn passed away at 104
in 2015 a Legendary Investor

Слайд 85Emotional Management
Why am I taking this action?

What is the

worst thing than can happen? Can I handle that?

Am I responding to fear or taking correct ACTION?

Слайд 863 Traits of Winning Traders

1. They are not easily flustered, so

they don’t make emotional decisions
2. They are not over confident of their abilities
They are good with details
Dr. Jason Williams “The mental edge in trading”

Слайд 87Wisdom from a Chess Master

The player who hesitates is often saved

All the right moves are there on the board, waiting to be made. Your job is to find them

Слайд 882015 FORECAST


Слайд 892015 FORECAST


Слайд 901905 PATTERN


Слайд 911915 PATTERN


Слайд 921925 PATTERN


Слайд 931935 PATTERN


Слайд 941945 PATTERN


Слайд 951955 PATTERN


Слайд 961965 PATTERN


Слайд 971975 PATTERN


Слайд 981985 PATTERN


Слайд 991995 PATTERN


Слайд 1002005 PATTERN


Слайд 1012015 PATTERN


Слайд 1021785-1895


Слайд 1031937 YEARS


Слайд 111THE COMING CRASH ‘7’ YEARS


Слайд 112LONG TERM PATTERN


Слайд 113SOLAR INFLUENCE


Слайд 114“TRUST BUT VERIFY”


Слайд 115HOW MARKETS MOVE

SMALL RANGES TO LARGE RANGES

TOPS WITH LARGE CLOSE- LOW

BOTTOMS

SMALL CLOSE- LOW


Слайд 116HOW MARKETS MOVE

CONGESTION TO CREATION

SMALL OPEN TO CLOSE TO LARGE
OPEN TO

CLOSE

6. ‘U’ SHAPED INTRA DAY

Слайд 117HOW MARKETS MOVE

CRITICAL POINT FOR
SHORT TERM TRADERS

LARGE

RANGE DAYS
(WHERE THE MONEY IS)
CLOSE ON THEIR EXTREMES

Слайд 118SMALL RANGES TO LARGE RANGES


Слайд 120BOTTOMS SMALL CLOSE- LOW


Слайд 121SMALL OPEN TO CLOSE TO LARGE OPEN TO CLOSE


Слайд 122WEEKLY CHART


Слайд 123‘U’ SHAPED INTRA DAY


Слайд 124LARGE RANGE RULE


Слайд 125LARGE RANGE RULE


Слайд 126Set up trades

COMMERCIALS—COT REPORT
SEASONALS
CYCLES
ADVISORS
PAUNCH


Слайд 127COMMERCIALS—COT REPORT


Слайд 128COT REPORT

COMMERCIALS ARE HEDGERS, USERS AND PRODUCERS

LARGE TRADERS ARE FUNDS
SMALL TRADERS

ARE THE PUBLIC

Слайд 129COMMERCIALS


THEY DO NOT MAKE MONEY TRADING

THEY BUY WEAKNESS
THEY SELL STRENGTH


Слайд 130LARGE TRADERS

SPECUALTORS

THEY BUY STRENGTH/SELL WEAKNESS

CRITICAL---THEY ADD TO POSITIONS


Слайд 131SMALL TRADERS

THE PUBLIC

REACT TO PRICE
WITH NO MONEY MANAGEMENT


Слайд 132NET POSITION


Слайд 133NET POSITION


Слайд 134COT TO INDICATORS


Слайд 135INDICATORS


Слайд 136COTSI ALL MARKETS


Слайд 139ADX/PAUNCH


Слайд 140ADX/PAUNCH

40 AND DECLINING SETS UP BUY SIGNAL
60 IS END OF THAT

TREND

PRICE RALLYING ADX DOWN IS SELL
SET UP

Слайд 141ADX/PAUNCH


Слайд 142ADX/PAUNCH


Слайд 143ADX/PAUNCH DAILY


Слайд 144ADX/PAUNCH INTRA DAY


Слайд 145AUTO TRADE


Слайд 146AUTO TRADE RESULTS


Слайд 147AUTO TRADE RESULTS


Слайд 148BOTTOM LINE

“CHARTS DON’T MOVE MARKETS…

CONDITIONS MOVE MARKETS”

And now you know the conditions
I use in my own trading

Слайд 149RUBLE FORECAST


Слайд 150RUBLE FORECAST


Слайд 1512016 RUSSIA FORECAST


Слайд 152The End

Удачи и хорошие
торговые
Larry Williams
Ireallytrade.com


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