US Dollar Breakout: How Far Will It Run? презентация

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US Dollar Breakout: How Far Will It Run?


Слайд 2Welcome to Commodity Trading Research Your premier site for fundamental and

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Hi, My name is Justin and I‘m with Commodity Trading Research,

today were reviewing our recently published article…




Слайд 5US Dollar Breakout: How Far Will It Run?


Слайд 6Something very important happened the past few days… The US Dollar

rallied above the important resistance trendline. I pointed out a few weeks ago. Here’s an updated chart…


Слайд 8As you can see, the greenback rallied strongly off technical support

at $94 (red line) in mid-October. The bullish momentum is carrying the currency above (green circle) the downtrend line (green line) from the early 2015 highs.

Слайд 9Without question, we have a US Dollar breakout on our hands.



Слайд 10What’s sending the greenback higher?


Слайд 11Last week’s FOMC meeting revealed the US central bank is closer

to hiking interest than many analysts and economists had expected.

Слайд 12Decidedly hawkish adjustments to the Fed policy statement has investors rushing

into the world’s reserve currency.

Слайд 13According to Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen a rate hike may come

as early as the next FOMC meeting on December 16th, 2015.

Слайд 14What’s this Dollar rally mean for commodities?


Слайд 15As you’re likely aware, the precious metals space has already had

the spots knocked out of it the past few days. Gold is down $73 an ounce (-6%) from the intraday high on the day of the FOMC

Слайд 16announcement, while silver has plunged just over $1 (-7.5%). Given the

recent price action in precious metals, it’s not hard to figure out the impact of a rising dollar on commodities. Here’s the deal…

Слайд 17Should the US Dollar continue rallying in coming months assets like

gold, silver, platinum, palladium, and crude oil, will face continuedopposition to higher prices.

Слайд 18But there is a caveat…


Слайд 19Should we see an unexpectedly bad economic data point this month

or next, the US Dollar breakout could fail. And as you may know, a failed breakout can cause a violent price reaction in the opposite direction.

Слайд 20In other words, a break below the red line in the

chart above is still possible.

Here’s where it gets very interesting…


Слайд 21In an appearance before a House of Representatives committee yesterday, Janet

Yellen said the Fed would consider negative interest rates should the US economy “deteriorate in a significant way.”

Слайд 22Folks, if anything’s capable of sending the US Dollar sharply lower-

that’s it. Bottom line… Economic data over the next few weeks will give essential clues to whether the Fed will raise rates in December or not.


Слайд 23But no matter what the Fed has in store for us,

commodity investors should be monitoring the US Dollar chart closely.

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