RAMEZ NAAM@ramez презентация

Содержание

[TEXT HAS BEEN ADDED TO SLIDES TO MAKE THEM USEFUL WITHOUT A SPEAKER] DON’T USE TEXT IN PRESENTATIONS

Слайд 1THE DISRUPTED FUTURE OF BANKING
RAMEZ NAAM @ramez


Слайд 2[TEXT HAS BEEN ADDED TO SLIDES TO MAKE THEM USEFUL WITHOUT

A SPEAKER] DON’T USE TEXT IN PRESENTATIONS

Слайд 3WHO AM I?


Слайд 4SCIENCE FICTION AUTHOR


Слайд 5
14 YEARS IN TECH


Слайд 6HELPED LEAD INTERNAL STARTUP DOING HIGH SCALE, DISTRIBUTED SYSTEMS, MACHINE LEARNING, INFORMATION RETRIEVAL


Слайд 8LEARNING FROM A DISRUPTIVE ADVERSARY


Слайд 10NOW TEACHING IMPACTS OF EXPONENTIAL TECHNOLOGIES


Слайд 12SCIENCE FICTION IS HERE


Слайд 14

1 MILLION MILES DRIVEN ZERO ACCIDENTS


Слайд 15SEES THINGS YOU CAN’T SEE REACTS FASTER THAN YOU CAN DRIVES BETTER THAN

YOU EVER WILL

Слайд 1730,000 US ROAD FATALITIES / YEAR 1 MILLION /YEAR GLOBALLY 50 BILLION DRIVING

HOURS / YR IN US ~8% OF GDP LOST TO DRIVING TIME

Слайд 19“DRIVING” WILL GO AWAY HUGE INDUSTRIES DISRUPTED YOUR LIFE CHANGED


Слайд 21
IBM’S WATSON


Слайд 22TROUNCED TWO BEST HUMANS TASK RECENTLY CONSIDERED IMPOSSIBLE


Слайд 24IBM’S TARGET MARKET: MEDICINE 16% OF US GDP A BETTER DOCTOR, BETTER DIAGNOSIS


Слайд 25MEDICINE A LARGE TARGET X-PRIZE TRICORDER PRIZE MOBISANTE ULTRASOUND


Слайд 26
$35K DEDICATED ULTRASOUND -> $500 ANDROID

+ TELEMEDICINE AND ALGORITHMIC MEDICINE
Mobisante mobile

ultrasound

Слайд 27SENSORS EVERYWHERE EVERY APPLIANCE, VEHICLE, DEVICE, CONNECTED


Слайд 29SENSORS FOR THE BODY THE INTERNET OF US


Слайд 31iPhone vs. ENIAC
Michael O’Donnell
$10 TRILLION
TO BUILD IPHONE 5 WITH 1940s TECH


Слайд 33 $0

COST OF COMPUTING GOES TO ZERO
{AND OF STORAGE,

BANDWIDTH, COORDINATION, DISINTERMEDIATION, ETC..}

Слайд 34

WINNERS AND LOSERS


Слайд 39

PHOTOGRAPHY AT AN ALL TIME HIGH
KODAK CRUSHED


Слайд 42
$18 Billion


Слайд 43
$10 Billion


Слайд 44

$9.5 Billion


Слайд 45

$18 Billion


Слайд 46

$23 Billion


Слайд 48AIRBNB HAS NEVER BUILT A HOTEL… BUT HAS A HIGHER MARKET CAP

THAN HYATT AND LIKELY TO PASS HILTON < 3 YEARS

Слайд 49AIRBNB vs. HOTEL CHAINS (MARKET CAPS)
AIRBNB: $10b
HYATT: $9.5b
STARWOOD: $15B (LIKELY PASSED

IN 2015)
MARRIOTT: 18B (LIKELY PASSED BY 2016)
HILTON: $23b (LIKELY PASSED BY 2017)



Слайд 50

WANT TO BE A WINNER?
OR A LOSER?


Слайд 51
DISRUPTED


Слайд 52DISRUPTION STARTS AT THE EDGES THEN HITS THE CORE PAYMENTS ARE THE EDGE


Слайд 5320%
BANKS EARN UP TO 20% OF REVENUE FROM NON-INTEREST SOURCES: ATM

FEES, CREDIT CARD FEES, ACCOUNT FEES, ETC..

Слайд 543%
CREDIT CARDS TAKE 2-3% OF EACH TRANSACTION


Слайд 57SQUARE WOULD LOVE TO REPLACE VISA AND MASTERCARD


Слайд 59BUT DOES THE WORLD EVEN NEED SQUARE?


Слайд 60MOBILE PHONES PER 100 PEOPLE
Cellulari


Слайд 62UBIQUITOUS SMART PHONES WILL ENABLE PAYMENTS WITHOUT ADDED HARDWARE


Слайд 64
$1.6 TRILLION


Слайд 65CHINA
$1.6 TRILLION IN MOBILE PAYMENTS IN 2013
317% GROWTH FROM 2012


Слайд 66
VISA AND MASTERCARD WANT TO OWN THIS SPACE TOO


Слайд 67BUT 3% SKIM CREATES AMPLE INCENTIVES FOR MERCHANTS & RIVALS


Слайд 69ANALOGY: MOBILE SOCIAL & MOBILE MESSAGING UBIQUITOUS HARDWARE LOWERED BARRIERS TO ENTRY

ALLOWED MULTIPLE NETWORKS TO SOAR RAPIDLY TO HIGH SCALE

Слайд 72DISRUPTED
MONEY WIRING ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE


Слайд 73DEVELOPING WORLD MAJOR GROWTH AREA
DRIVEN BY ‘REMITTANCES’ FROM EMIGREES


Слайд 74

$500 B Transfers


Слайд 75$528 BILLION IN REMITTANCES IN 2013 8% YOY GROWTH >10% OF GDP IN

20 COUNTRIES $50B IN MONEY TRANSFER FEES

Слайд 7610%
FEES AVERAGE 10%. CAN BE 12% OR HIGHER.
$200 ? KENYA =

$24 IN FEES. OUTRAGEOUS.

Слайд 77Remittances totalled $534 billion in 2012, grows annually by ~8%, and accounts for more

than 10% of the GDP in over 20 countries.
Remittance is one of the most expensive forms of payment. The average cost for remittance in the first quarter of 2013 was 9.05%. At this rate, remittance operators will collect over $50 billion in fees this year. Remittance operators profit from transactions fees, margins added to currency exchange rates, recipient fees, cash payout fees, plus a variety of additional fees. In 2012, Western Union, the largest remittance operator, generated $5.66 billion in revenue with a net profit of $1.02 billion.
These fees and margins would be excessive to anyone, but are especially burdensome to the people who use remittance most: low-income migrant workers and their even-lower-income families.
“If the cost of sending remittances could be reduced by 5 percentage points…developing countries would receive over $16 billion dollars more each year than they do now. This added income could then provide remittance recipients more opportunity for consumption, savings, and investment in local economies.”—The World Bank

Слайд 79

0%?
BITCOIN AS A TRANSFER PROTCOL
INHERENTLY GLOBAL AND INSTANT
PROCESSORS BIDDING AT

1% CHARGES

Слайд 80

DISRUPTED


Слайд 8180%
THE REAL MONEY FOR BANKS IS LOAN INTEREST
80% OF REVENUE: LOANS

& SECURITIES

Слайд 82BANKS DEPEND UPON DEMAND FOR THEIR LOANS


Слайд 84US INDUSTRY IS LESS AND LESS CAPITAL INTENSIVE. A LONG TERM

NEGATIVE TREND FOR LENDING.



Слайд 86RECENT EXAMPLES


Слайд 87

$280 million funding
$22 BILLION exit


Слайд 88
$800 million funding
$10 BILLION value


Слайд 89

AIRBNB NEVER BUILT ONE OF THESE


Слайд 90BUT AGAIN: NOT JUST RECENT. A LONG TERM TREND TOWARDS INCREASED CAPITAL EFFICIENCY

OF PROFITS

Слайд 92

PROBLEM 2: COMPETITION IN LENDING


Слайд 93
PEER TO PEER LENDING


Слайд 94

“AIRBNB FOR LOANS”
CONNECTS BORROWERS TO LENDERS

DISINTERMEDIATES BANKS


Слайд 95
LENDERS GET HIGHER RATES THAN BONDS
BORROWERS GET LOWER RATES THAN CREDIT

CARDS
LOANS OFTEN PAY DOWN CC DEBT

Слайд 96
LENDERS BUILD PORTFOLIOS
TYPICALLY COVER ONLY FRACTION OF A BORROWER
SPREAD & SHARE

RISK

Слайд 97

188% YOY GROWTH


Слайд 98P2P LENDING STILL TINY VS $1.8T US LOAN MKT BUT DOUBLING EVERY

9 MONTHS 2/3 NEW LOANS FROM INST. INVESTORS DEFAULT INSURANCE NOW AN OPTION

Слайд 99GOOGLE LEAD $125M LendingClub ROUND


Слайд 100OTHER COMPETITORS BEYOND P2P PRIVATE EQUITY FIRMS ?


Слайд 101
$70+ BILLION IN LENDING IN 2013
UP FROM $50B IN 2012

SHIPYARDS, HEAVY

INDUSTRY, ETC..

Слайд 102NIGHTMARE SCENARIO: LARGE ASSET HOLDERS MOVE INTO LENDING ASSISTED BY ALGORITHMS THAT VET

LENDERS & NETWORKS THAT DISINTERMEDIATE BANKS

Слайд 103

TRILLIONS IN AVAILABLE ASSETS


Слайд 105WHAT SHOULD BANKS DO?
MOVE FAST IN A FAST CHANGING WORLD
KEEP YOUR

CUSTOMERS HAPPY!
UNDERSTAND YOU’RE NOT THE ONLY GAME IN TOWN
KNOW YOUR ADVANTAGES:
FDIC, PERCEIVED STABILITY, CONVENIENCE, RELATIONSHIPS
DISRUPT YOURSELF BEFORE SOMEONE ELSE DOES

Слайд 107THE DISRUPTED FUTURE OF BANKING
RAMEZ NAAM @ramez


Обратная связь

Если не удалось найти и скачать презентацию, Вы можете заказать его на нашем сайте. Мы постараемся найти нужный Вам материал и отправим по электронной почте. Не стесняйтесь обращаться к нам, если у вас возникли вопросы или пожелания:

Email: Нажмите что бы посмотреть 

Что такое ThePresentation.ru?

Это сайт презентаций, докладов, проектов, шаблонов в формате PowerPoint. Мы помогаем школьникам, студентам, учителям, преподавателям хранить и обмениваться учебными материалами с другими пользователями.


Для правообладателей

Яндекс.Метрика