The Simple Secret to America’s Shale Revolution презентация

The Spectacular Success of Shale Drilling In Since 2008, US oil production has climbed by more than 3 million barrels per day to the highest levels in 25 years.

Слайд 1

The Simple Secret
to America’s Shale Revolution


Слайд 2The Spectacular Success of Shale Drilling
In
Since 2008, US oil production

has climbed by more than 3 million barrels per day to the highest levels in 25 years.

Much of that change has been from shale drilling


Слайд 3The Spectacular Success of Shale Drilling
Production in the most popular oil

shale plays should increase by another 1.5 million barrels per day by 2020

Does not include shale gas or prospective plays

Слайд 4Photo Source: NASA
Decades of Drilling Left!


Слайд 5What Has Made it So Successful?
Photo Source: NASA

Shale drillers have been

developing a better understanding of how shale wells produce over time, adjusting their operations along the way.


The largest impact on well performance has been the result of more proppant use


Слайд 6What is Proppant?
…SAND!!!
The same stuff we used to play in as

kids…

Слайд 7Factors Influencing Proppant Use
Photo Source: NASA
Photo Credit: Wes Peck via Flickr.

com

2014: Wells per rig projected to increase 10% since 2012
Lateral lengths in the Bakken have doubled in past 5 years, similar figures from other basins
2009-2014: Companies have gone from single frac per well to as many as 40 frac stages per well
2013-2014: Average proppant used per well increased from 2,500 tons per well to 8,000 tons


Слайд 8Proppant Demand Forecast
Compounded annual growth rate of >10% for next

10 years

Photo Source: NASA


Слайд 9Who Are the Big Players?
Photo Source: NASA


Слайд 10US Silica Holdings (NYSE: SLCA)
Photo Source: NASA


Слайд 11US Silica Holdings
Photo Source: NASA
Photo Credit: Wes Peck via Flickr. com
What

you Need to Know:
Biggest sand producer: 8.2 million tons sand delivered in 2013

Contracts with largest oil services companies: Halliburton, Schlumberger, Nabors Industries

EBITDA CAGR greater than 33% over past 5 years.

Large supplier of industrial silica for specialty products (50% of volume shipped in FY 2013)

Слайд 12Hi-Crush Partners LP (NYSE: HCLP)
Photo Source: NASA


Слайд 13Hi-Crush Partners LP
Photo Source: NASA
Photo Credit: Wes Peck via Flickr. com
What

you Need to Know:
Quickly ramping up activity: Contract sales for 2015 at 4 million tons, 166% greater than FY 2013

Long term contracts in place: 5 year agreement with Weatherford, 6 year contract with Baker Hughes

EBITDA has grown 4.8 times since FY 2011 (founded in 2010)

Strong cash flow: Distribution coverage ratio of 1.15 for Q1 2014 pre- equity issuance

Слайд 14Emergy Energy Services (NYSE: EMES)
Photo Source: NASA


Слайд 15Emerge Energy Services
Photo Source: NASA
Photo Credit: Wes Peck via Flickr. com
What

you Need to Know:
Production growing fast: 7.3 million tons of capacity brought online in 2 years, another 4 million awaiting permitting

Also has refined fuels distribution segment ( 76% of revenue, but 22% of operating income in Q1 2014, sand business growing faster than fuel segment)

Variable rate Master Limited Partnership: gives out 100% of distributable cash flow at end of quarter.

Big push into Canadian shale: Of three sand producers on list, only one with rail trans loading sites in Canada

Слайд 16Carbo Ceramics (NYSE: CRR)
Photo Source: NASA
Photo Credit: Wes Peck via Flickr.

com

Oil Services specialist, designs products and services designed to optimize well productivity from hydraulic fracturing

Major producer of ceramic proppant



Why Ceramic?


Слайд 17Why Ceramic?
Photo Source: NASA
Photo Credit: Wes Peck via Flickr. com
Works better

in high-pressure environments (offshore drilling fields/ onshore depths greater than 10,000 ft) than sand

Слайд 18Carbo Ceramics
Photo Source: NASA
Photo Credit: Wes Peck via Flickr. com
What you

Need to Know:
Ceramic use taking off in certain geographies. Ceramic proppant as % of volume in Bakken has increased from <5% in 2008 to >40%.

Producing noticeable results in elsewhere. Ceramic wells have 20%-60% better 3 month production per lateral foot in Eagle Ford

Growing dividend by 16% annually since 2005

Currently limited by ceramic proppant manufacturing. 625,000 tons of ceramic production awaiting permits

Слайд 19What does this all mean to me?

Better well results from increased

proppant use in hydraulic fracturing likely means we will see strong demand for sand and ceramic proppant for several years to come. U.S. Silica, Hi-Crush, Emerge, and Carbo are all growing production fast, but demand is growing faster. This means that there is plenty of room for these companies to grow in proppant industry without too much risk of over capacity. All of these companies have stable, long term contracts in place and have been acquiring smaller players in industry to consolidate, so each are in a unique position to succeed over next several years.

Photo Source: NASA


Слайд 20OPEC’s Worst Nightmare…


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