EBA Investment Attractiveness Index(5th wave) презентация

research company

tracking research.

Methodology: The EBA Investment Attractiveness Index is assessed as the mean value based on the following five questions:
What do you think about the investment climate in Ukraine?
How would you estimate the investment climate for your company in Ukraine at the moment compared to the previous three months?
What are your expectations of the investment climate in Ukraine over the next three months?
In your opinion, would it be profitable for new entrants to invest in Ukraine over the next three months?
What are your expectations of the business environment of your primary industry over the next three months?
Participants: CEOs of EBA members companies
Timing: September, 2 – 30, 2009
Survey Implementation: the Survey was conducted by EBA with the support of InMind research company

Dynamics Expectations: next 3 months

Profitability for new entrants: next 3 months

2,3

2nd wave

1,8

2,2

2,3

General EBA Index

2,22

Investment Climate of Primary Industry: next 3 months

2,5

3,1

1st wave

2,8

3,1

3,4

3,3

General EBA Index

3,14

2,0

3rd wave

2,1

2,2

2,4

General EBA Index

2,22

2,4

2,3

4th wave

2,7

2,8

2,7

General EBA Index

2,64

2,7

2,2

5th wave

2,5

2,6

2,6

General EBA Index

2,56

2,9

14)

N=78

(September, 2-30)

N=59

Ukraine is… (5 point scale)

Mean = 2,0

0

–

+

Mean = 2,3

Mean = 2,2

2,1

0

–

+

The Investment Climate in Ukraine… (5 point scale)

Mean = 2,7

Mean = 2,5

= 2,2

0

–

+

The Investment Climate in Ukraine… (5 point scale)

Mean = 2,8

Mean = 2,6

= 2,4

0

–

+

Profitability for New Entrants … (5 point scale)

Mean = 2,7

Mean = 2,6

3,3

Mean = 2,4

0

–

+

Investment climate of primary industry… (5 point scale)

Mean = 2,7

Mean = 2,9

where 1 stands for the lowest evaluation and 5 stands for the highest evaluation

In the 3rd quarter of 2009 the EBA Investment Attractiveness Index remained practically at the same level of 2.56 on a 5 point scale with the slight trend to decrease compared to 2.64 in the 2nd quarter of 2009

During 2009 the Index shows very graduate changes. After the sharp decrease in September 2008 and reaching the lowest marks in October’08 and January’09 the Index slightly grew to 2.6 in April and remains almost unchanged until September’09

Index component reaching only 2.2 while the expectation for the primary industries reached the highest score: 2.9. Therefore investors demonstrate more optimistic estimation of the investment climate in their primary industries within the coming 3 months compared to the overall climate. The profitability for the new entrants estimations became more polarized compared to the previous period neutral estimations.

There is a tendency of growing gap between past periods versus coming periods expectations evaluations that reveals moderate optimism in investors expectations