Expert Briefing: State of Bitcoin 2015 презентация

Содержание

State of Bitcoin 2015 2 March 2015

Слайд 2State of Bitcoin 2015

2 March 2015


Слайд 4About CoinDesk
World leader in digital currency news, prices and information
The Bitcoin

Price Index serves as an industry reference point
International team headquartered in London
Editors based in London, New York, San Francisco and Tokyo

State of Bitcoin 2015


Слайд 5State of Bitcoin 2015
The State of Bitcoin?


Слайд 6A ‘Tale of Two Bitcoins’?
“It was the best of times, it

was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were all going direct to heaven, we were all going direct the other way”

-Charles Dickens, A Tale of Two Cities

State of Bitcoin 2015


Слайд 7Contents
Price
Media
VC Investment
Commerce
Technology
Regulation and Macro
Conclusion
State of Bitcoin 2015


Слайд 8State of Bitcoin 2015
Price


Слайд 9From Biggest Annual Price Appreciation in History…
Source: CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index

daily closing price (taken at 00:00 GMT)

01/01/2013 01/02/2013 01/03/2013 01/04/2013 1/05/2013 1/06/2013 1/07/2013 1/08/2013 1/09/2013 1/10/2013 1/11/2013 1/12/2013

State of Bitcoin 2015


Слайд 10…to 2014’s Worst Performing Currency

Source: CoinDesk http://www.coindesk.com/price/
State of Bitcoin 2015
-67.4%


Слайд 11CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index – 2014 & 2015 YTD by the

Numbers

State of Bitcoin 2015

Source: CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index, daily data collected at 00:00 UTC
www.coindesk.com/price

31st Dec Close $319.70
2nd Mar $258.88
YTD Δ -19.0%
2nd Mar Market Cap $3.6bn

2015 YTD Price Summary

High (6th Jan) $951.39
Low (30th Dec) $309.87
2014 Δ -67.4%
Average $526.92
Median $501.63

2014 Price Summary


Слайд 12The Bitcoin Startup Ecosystem: Seven Different Bitcoin Company Categories
State of Bitcoin

2015








Payment Processing

Wallets

Mining

Financial Services

Exchanges


Infrastructure

Universal




































Source: CoinDesk


Слайд 13Mining and Exchange Sectors Shrink
State of Bitcoin 2015
Source: CoinDesk
Exchange companies go

bankrupt

Mining companies go bankrupt

Aquifer LLC


Слайд 14State of Bitcoin 2015
Media


Слайд 15
Bitcoin: Never a Shortage of Bad News
State of Bitcoin 2015


Слайд 16Q1 Negative News
State of Bitcoin 2015
Bitstamp claims $5 million lost in

hot wallet hack

Bitcoin mining firm CoinTerra files for chapter 7 bankruptcy

Hong Kong's MyCoin disappears with up to $387 million




Слайд 17Drop in Bitcoin News Coverage in Q1
State of Bitcoin 2015
News Published

Mentioning Bitcoin

Note: Numbers of stories obtained by searching ‘bitcoin’ on respective publishers’ websites, Q1 2015 number of news coverage calculated by run rate

Sources: respective publishers’ websites


Слайд 18Q1 Positive News
State of Bitcoin 2015
Coinbase's record $75 million funding round,

opening of US regulation compliant exchange

Bitcoin Core 0.10 gives developers simplified network consensus access

Blockchain number of wallets passes 3 million








Слайд 19State of Bitcoin 2015
VC Investment


Слайд 20Total VC Investment in Bitcoin Startups to Date
$551m

Source: CoinDesk (www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-venture-capital/)
State of

Bitcoin 2015

Слайд 21Eventually mainstream products, companies and industries emerge to commercialize it; its

effects become profound; and later, many people wonder why its powerful promise wasn’t more obvious from the start.

What technology am I talking about? Personal computers in 1975, the Internet in 1993, and – I believe – Bitcoin in 2014.
- Marc Andreessen, Andreessen Horowitz



As Big as the PC and Internet?



State of Bitcoin 2015


Слайд 222014 Bitcoin VC Investment Surpassed Early-Stage Internet Investment
State of Bitcoin 2015
Sources:

CoinDesk, PricewaterhouseCoopers

Слайд 23Record Setting VC Deals Continue after the Price Collapse
State of Bitcoin

2015

$75m

$30.5m

(Series A) October 2014

(Series C) Jan 2015

Source: CoinDesk (www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-venture-capital/)


Слайд 24Universals Raised the Most Funding in Q1, Followed by Mining and

Infrastructure

State of Bitcoin 2015

Sources: CoinDesk (www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-venture-capital/), CrunchBase


Слайд 25

Number of Universal Bitcoin Companies Doubled in 2014
State of Bitcoin 2015

Universals

operate across more than one aspect of the bitcoin value chain (e.g. Coinplug provides payment processing, wallet and ATMs)

More and more bitcoin startups continue to pursue the universal model

Universal bitcoin companies leverage two key elements of financial services: efficiency and trust

The Universals

2013

2014


Слайд 26State of Bitcoin 2015
Commerce


Слайд 27What Do People Buy with Bitcoins? Home Goods & Consumer Electronics
State

of Bitcoin 2015

Source: most popular items purchased through Purse.io by November 2014

Trashbags

Coffee Grinder

Infant Formula

Home Goods

Bluetooth Speaker

Digital Camera

Playstation

Consumer
Electronics


Слайд 28Companies Representing >$180 Billion in Annual Revenue Now Accept Bitcoin
State of

Bitcoin 2015

**The revenue is Time Inc. FY 2013 revenue

Sources: CoinDesk, Coinbase, BitPay, companies’ annual reports


Слайд 29>82,000 Merchants Now Accept Bitcoin, Up From 75,000 in Q3 (+9%)
State

of Bitcoin 2015

44K

38K

Sources: Coinbase and BitPay


Слайд 30Growth in Bitcoin-Accepting Businesses Slowed Throughout 2014
State of Bitcoin 2015
Sources: CoinDesk,

Bitcoinity

Слайд 31 Total merchants

Forecasted merchants

140,000 Bitcoin-Accepting Merchants Forecast by End of 2015

State of Bitcoin 2015


Sources and notes: total current merchants based on data from Coinbase and BitPay. Historical Coinbase data provided by BitcoinPulse. BitPay historical data between new merchant press release announcements of 10,000 (16th Sep 2013), 20,000 (13th Jan 2014) and 30,000 (28th May 2014), respectively, calculated using linear interpolation.


Слайд 32Well-Funded Bitcoin Startups are Able to Secure Banking Relationships
State of Bitcoin

2015

Source: CoinDesk (http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-venture-capital/)

$27.5m funding

$10.0m funding

$9.0m funding

$5.0m funding

Reasons banks hesitate on bitcoin:
bigger risks
higher costs
more work
Low ROI
regulatory pressure
prohibited by regulators


Слайд 33Blockchain Wallet Growth Rate Has Been Flat for Last 12 Months
State

of Bitcoin 2015


Source and note : Blockchain.info, 2015 quarter one wallet number is calculated by run rate


Слайд 34 Total Wallets

Forecasted Wallets

Approximately 12 Million Bitcoin Wallets Forecast by End of 2015

State of Bitcoin 2015


R2 = 0.971

Sources and notes: total wallets based on data from Blockchain.info, MultiBit, Coinbase, Andreas Schildbach (Android Bitcoin Wallet developer). Historical Coinbase data provided by BitcoinPulse.


Слайд 35Bitcoin Remains the Coin of Choice in the Post-Silk Road Online

Black Market

State of Bitcoin 2015

The view that bitcoin would be quickly supplanted by DarkCoin or another theoretically more anonymous altcoin for black market use appears to be unfounded

Source: Wired http://www.wired.com/2014/09/agora-bigger-than-silk-road/

Agora, which is larger than Silk Road 2.0, only accepts bitcoins


Слайд 36State of Bitcoin 2015
Technology


Слайд 37520 Altcoins, Bitcoin’s Market Cap is 8X Larger Than the Next

Biggest

State of Bitcoin 2015

Source: CoinMarketCap data as of 27th Feb 2015


Слайд 38Crypto 2.0 Projects to Keep an Eye on in 2015
State of

Bitcoin 2015

BitAssets – allowing traders to hedge against bitcoin's fluctuations

Alternative blockchain to bitcoin’s

Decentralised social messenger

Bringing smart contracts to market

Source: CoinDesk


Слайд 39CoinBase’s API Gaining Traction With 44 Bitcoin Apps Built on it
State

of Bitcoin 2015

Source: CoinBase







Слайд 40State of Bitcoin 2015
Regulation and Macro


Слайд 41NY BitLicenses 2.0: Bitcoin Still Being Held to Higher Standard
State of

Bitcoin 2015

New York’s BitLicense regulatory proposal widely regarded as a possible framework for other jurisdictions.
Ben Lawsky announced the latest revisions to the draft BitLicense in mid-December.
Clarified and narrowed which players in the digital currency industry would be required to obtain a BitLicense.
Fewer disclosure and record-keeping requirements for transactions.
The proposed record-keeping requirement for licensees reduced from 10 to seven years.
Broader range of financial assets (that includes virtual currency) that can be counted towards licensees' capital requirements.

Ben Lawsky

Source: CoinDesk


Слайд 42Bitcoin Startups are Pulling Out of NY
State of Bitcoin 2015
NY’s Ben

Lawsky

UK’s George Osborne

New York vs
London

UK Chancellor George Osborne has announced he is looking to make the UK attractive to bitcoin startups and capital
Startups like Epiphyte have already relocated from NY to seemingly friendlier London


Слайд 43Light Touch UK Bitcoin Regulation
State of Bitcoin 2015
Source: CoinDesk (http://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-regulation-uk/)


Consumer Protection

HMRC (HM Revenue & Customs) and FCA

Taxation

Prevention of money laundering

Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) 

No regulation on digital currencies and no intention of doing so.




No formal obligation from HMRC. But Registering as an MSB brings a firm under the UK's anti-money laundering (AML) regulations.

HMRC

VAT on bitcoin purchase withdrawn. HMRC considering how best to tax bitcoin.


Слайд 44UK-London Based Bitcoin Companies
State of Bitcoin 2015
Source: CoinDesk
(News & Analytics)
(Wallet)
(Wallet)
(Exchange)
(Payment Processor)
(Exchange)
(Exchange)
(Networking)


Слайд 45

Illegal

Restricted

Legal
State of Bitcoin 2015
Source: Wikipedia
Bitcoin Regulation Could Be Much Heavier


Слайд 46Will Bitcoin First Gain Traction in Advanced Economies…
State of Bitcoin 2015


Слайд 47… or in the Under-banked Developing World?
Due to lack of credit

cards, approximately 65% and 35% of all e-commerce in China and India respectively is conducted with cash


… bitcoin may help it leapfrog credit cards

State of Bitcoin 2015


Слайд 48Bitcoin Market Potential Index (BMPI)
‘Positive’ Index Drivers
‘Negative’ Index Drivers
State of Bitcoin

2015

Слайд 49Sub-Saharan Africa is the Most Fertile Region for Bitcoin, Followed by

Latin America & Post-Soviet

BMPI Regional Distribution - Top 30

BMPI Regional Distribution - Top 10

State of Bitcoin 2015


Слайд 50The BMPI Top 10
Rank Country
1 Argentina
2 Venezuela
3 Zimbabwe
4 Malawi
5 United States
6 Belarus
7 Nigeria


8 Congo (DR)
9 Iceland
10 Iran

Cristina Fernández de Kirchner’s Argentina is #1

State of Bitcoin 2015


Слайд 51BMPI Interactive Heat Map located at:
BitcoinIQ.info
State of Bitcoin 2015


Слайд 52State of Bitcoin 2015
Conclusion


Слайд 53A ‘Tale of Two Bitcoins’
State of Bitcoin 2015


Слайд 54Type
Historical
Contemporary
Digital
Physical
Intrinsic value
Token
Closed Centralized
Open Decentralized
N/A
Source: Hileman (2013) ‘History and Prospects for Alternative Currencies’, London

School of Economics working paper

Bitcoin is Unlike Any Previous
Alternative Currency

State of Bitcoin 2015


Слайд 55
Investments in FinTech Dwarf Bitcoin
State of Bitcoin 2015
Bitcoin
FinTech
Sources: CoinDesk, Medium (https://medium.com/@UnitedVentures/fintech-key-trends-2014-5124b6088677)



FinTech
$3b invested in 2014

$0.3b invested in 2014

100 Deals

Biggest Deal $31m

216
Deals

Biggest Deal
$150M


Слайд 56FinTech Investment Continues Growing
State of Bitcoin 2015
Sources: CoinDesk, Medium (https://medium.com/@UnitedVentures/fintech-key-trends-2014-5124b6088677)


Слайд 57 Thank you @GarrickHileman
State of Bitcoin 2015


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