Economics for your Classroom fromEd Dolan’s Econ BlogUS Corporate Profits Take Big Hit as Q1 GDP Falls a Full Percentage PointPosted May 29, 2014 презентация

May 29, 2014 Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog US GDP Falls in Q1 2014 The second estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis released on May 29 showed that US real

Слайд 1Economics for your Classroom from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog US Corporate Profits Take

Big Hit as Q1 GDP Falls a Full Percentage Point Posted May 29, 2014

Terms of Use: These slides are provided under Creative Commons License Attribution—Share Alike 3.0 . You are free to use these slides as a resource for your economics classes together with whatever textbook you are using. If you like the slides, you may also want to take a look at my textbook, Introduction to Economics, from BVT Publishing.


Слайд 2May 29, 2014 Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog

US GDP Falls in Q1

2014

The second estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis released on May 29 showed that US real GDP fell at an annual rate of 1.0 percent in Q1 2014
The advance estimate released in April had shown positive growth of 0.1 percent
Harsh winter weather undoubtedly contributed to the downturn


Слайд 3Phases of the Business Cycle
According to standard business cycle terminology, the

recession phase of the business cycle is the downward movement of GDP from its previous peak
The recovery phase is the upward movement from the trough (low point) of the recession and continues until GDP again reaches its previous peak.
Once GDP moves above its previous peak, the expansion phase begins.
The latest data show that the expansion has stalled, although growth is expected to resume in the second quarter

May 29, 2014 Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog


Слайд 4Sources of Growth by Sector
Most of the fall in GDP was

due to a decrease in investment, especially a sharp decrease in inventories
The contribution from consumption was positive but lower than the 2.22 percentage points in Q3
A decrease in expenditures of state and local government was only partly offset by an increase in Federal expenditures
Exports, which had been a strong point of the recovery, also turned negative

Contribution by sector to the -1% GDP growth in Q1 2014

Note: Imports are recorded in the national accounts with a negative sign, so the -.12 percentage points shown here represent an increase in imports

May 29, 2014 Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog


Слайд 5Export Growth Plunges
Exports have played a leading role in GDP growth

during much of the recovery
Beginning in Q2 2012, the growth of exports slowed, but then recovered again in the last three quarters of 2013
In Q1 2014, exports took a dive, turning in by far their worst performance since the depths of the recession

May 29, 2014 Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog


Слайд 6State and Local Spending Turns Negative Again
Decreasing government spending, has been

a negative influence on GDP growth for most of the past 3 years
In mid-2013, state and local government spending showed the first convincing growth for four years, more than offsetting the continued decrease in federal spending
In Q1 2014, the situation reversed, with S&L spending making a negative contribution that more than offset a tiny increase in federal government spending

May 29, 2014 Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog


Слайд 7Corporate Profits Take a Dive
For most of the past two years,

corporate profits have been running at or near record-high levels
Profits before tax fell 10 percent in Q1 2014 and profits after tax plunged by 14 percent
Despite the sharp drop, corporate profits after tax remained above the peak reached during the boom that preceded the Great Recession

May 29, 2014 Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog


Слайд 8Click here Click here to learn more about Ed Dolan’s Econ

texts
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